Goodwin leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Goodwin typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goodwin, ~17% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goodwin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Goodwin leans more Republican than 29 of 48 neighbors.
Goodwin runs about 9 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goodwin. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Goodwin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goodwin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Goodwin drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Goodwin sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Goodwin, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Goodwin looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Goodwin is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Goodwin report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Palestine, AR R+48
- Wheatley, AR R+24
- Slonikers Mill, AR R+38
- Moro, AR R+41
- Zent, AR R+36
- Fargo, AR R+12
- Hunter, AR R+74
- Brinkley, AR R+17
- Haynes, AR R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poplar Plains, KY R+61
- Slacks, LA D+11
- Unaka Springs, TN R+69
- Nadeau, MI R+44
- Bloomingville, OH R+40
- Boissevain, VA R+62
- Willow Valley, IN R+66
- Julian, NE R+55
- Pearsons Corner, SD R+55
- Shaw Island, WA D+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.