Fayetteville is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Fayetteville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fayetteville, ~16% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fayetteville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fayetteville leans more Republican than 60 of 84 neighbors.
Fayetteville runs about 67 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Fayetteville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Fayetteville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fayetteville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fayetteville votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Fayetteville runs about 67 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Fayetteville are family households, above 88% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fayetteville, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fayetteville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Fayetteville own their home, about 17 points above the Illinois average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Fayetteville have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Libory, IL R+57
- Lenzburg, IL R+57
- New Athens, IL R+48
- Freeburg, IL R+36
- New Memphis, IL R+54
- Mascoutah, IL R+25
- Old Marissa, IL R+55
- Marissa, IL R+56
- Stone Church, IL R+60
- Venedy, IL R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Milford, CA R+45
- Hunters Hlw, KY R+60
- Hedley, TX R+80
- Round Prairie, TX R+39
- Errol, NH R+40
- Green Point, PA R+64
- Pleasant Prairie, IA R+36
- Boxholm, IA R+44
- Santa Fe, MO R+64
- Bradford, IA R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.