Valley leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 32% of adults in Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley, ~22% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Valley leans more Democratic than 19 of 36 neighbors.
Valley runs about 24 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Valley. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Valley. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Valley, Providence, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 14 points above the Rhode Island average of 8%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 64% of households in Valley rent, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Valley report food insecurity, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mount Pleasant, Providence, RI D+35
- Olneyville, Providence, RI D+36
- Federal Hill, Providence, RI D+60
- Smith Hill, Providence, RI D+47
- Elmhurst, Providence, RI D+31
- Manton, Providence, RI D+27
- Hartford, Providence, RI D+29
- Wanskuck, Providence, RI D+40
- Downtown, Providence, RI D+64
- West End, Providence, RI D+48
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Central Bench, Boise, ID D+21
- Greater Belhaven, Jackson, MS D+34
- Penrose, St. Louis, MO D+86
- Whittier Heights, Seattle, WA D+80
- Downtown Riverfront-190th, Bothell, WA D+42
- Kenwood-Duluth, Duluth, MN D+30
- Riverton, Portland, ME D+27
- Garfield, Huntington Beach, CA D+2
- Olde Providence South, Charlotte, NC D+3
- Webber-Camden, Minneapolis, MN D+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.