Fern Prairie leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Fern Prairie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fern Prairie, ~45% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fern Prairie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fern Prairie leans more Republican than 43 of 65 neighbors.
Fern Prairie runs about 27 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Fern Prairie is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Fern Prairie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fern Prairie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fern Prairie votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, well below the Washington average of 41%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Fern Prairie are family households, above 83% of cities. Fern Prairie runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fern Prairie, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Fern Prairie looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fern Prairie is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Camas, WA D+11
- Washougal, WA R+6
- Fairview, OR D+22
- Wood Village, OR D+19
- Troutdale, OR D+11
- Orchards, WA Even
- Brush Prairie, WA R+17
- Gresham, OR D+15
- Corbett, OR R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wren, AL R+77
- Waterview, KY R+72
- Oxbow, ME R+45
- Brookston, PA R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.