Fishtail leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Fishtail typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fishtail, ~19% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fishtail compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fishtail leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Fishtail runs about 20 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Fishtail leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fishtail, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Fishtail live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Fishtail, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Fishtail looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fishtail is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Fishtail have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nye, MT R+40
- Roscoe, MT R+39
- Absarokee, MT R+49
- Limestone, MT R+49
- Luther, MT R+35
- Reed Point, MT R+68
- Roberts, MT R+43
- Red Lodge, MT D+3
- Columbus, MT R+55
- Greycliff, MT R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bunker Hill, TN R+65
- Burke, TN R+70
- Pom-o-sa Heights, MO R+62
- Granville, IN R+51
- Jeddo, AL R+73
- Golden Eagle, IL R+53
- Palmer, KS R+73
- Reynolds, MO R+70
- Rhame, ND R+80
- Sandy Hollow-Escondidas, TX R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.