Fleming, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Fleming

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Fleming leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Fleming typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fleming, ~34% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Fleming compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Fleming leans more Republican than 64 of 115 neighbors.

Fleming runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Fleming is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Fleming leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fleming, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Fleming votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Fleming runs about 35 points more Republican.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Fleming, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Fleming looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fleming is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Fleming own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Fleming have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.