Flint Hill leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Flint Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flint Hill, ~29% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flint Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flint Hill leans more Republican than 16 of 80 neighbors.
Politically, Flint Hill sits close to the rest of Missouri.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flint Hill. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Flint Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flint Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flint Hill votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, far above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Flint Hill are family households, above 84% of cities.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Flint Hill, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Flint Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Flint Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wentzville, MO R+24
- Josephville, MO R+35
- Foristell, MO R+41
- Lake St. Louis, MO R+16
- St. Paul, MO R+32
- Moscow Mills, MO R+48
- Maryknoll, MO R+55
- Old Monroe, MO R+57
- O'fallon, MO R+16
- Dardenne Prairie, MO R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stillwell, GA R+51
- Dryden, VA R+65
- Lattingtown, NY R+10
- Greenland, AR R+28
- Long Lake, MN D+15
- Star City, WV D+20
- Lonedell, MO R+62
- Fulton, TX R+50
- Millerton, PA R+59
- Millwood, WA R+11
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.