Florida City leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Florida City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Florida City, ~24% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Florida City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Florida City leans more Democratic than 32 of 34 neighbors.
Florida City runs about 30 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Florida City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Florida City. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+44) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 62 points.
Why Florida City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Florida City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 65% of residents in Florida City live in densely developed areas, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Florida City have never been married, above 98% of cities. Florida City runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Florida City, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Florida City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Florida City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 21 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 64% of households in Florida City rent, compared to around 37% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 66% of adults in Florida City have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Homestead, FL R+5
- Leisure City, FL R+5
- Naranja, FL D+12
- Princeton, FL R+10
- Goulds, FL D+8
- South Miami Heights, FL R+12
- Richmond West, FL R+25
- Perrine, FL Even
- Cutler Bay, FL R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarks Summit, PA Even
- North Plainfield, NJ D+31
- Lake Zurich, IL D+10
- East Patchogue, NY R+13
- Upper St. Clair, PA D+12
- Granite Bay, CA R+11
- Twinsburg, OH D+21
- North Tustin, CA R+9
- Covington, WA D+11
- Florida Ridge, FL R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.