Flower Mound leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Flower Mound typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flower Mound, ~32% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flower Mound compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flower Mound leans more Republican than 29 of 71 neighbors.
Politically, Flower Mound sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flower Mound. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Flower Mound leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flower Mound, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flower Mound votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 86%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Flower Mound are family households, above 94% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Flower Mound, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Flower Mound looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flower Mound is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Flower Mound have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Double Oak, TX R+38
- Highland Village, TX R+27
- Lewisville, TX D+9
- Copper Canyon, TX R+39
- Bartonville, TX R+46
- Hickory Creek, TX R+29
- Trophy Club, TX R+32
- Grapevine, TX R+12
- Coppell, TX D+2
- Lake Dallas, TX R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stockbridge, GA D+40
- Simpsonville, SC R+22
- New Rochelle, NY D+35
- Caldwell, ID R+37
- Southfield, MI D+70
- Auburn, AL D+3
- Pawtucket, RI D+26
- O'fallon, MO R+16
- Jupiter, FL R+20
- Battle Creek, MI Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.