Trophy Club leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Trophy Club typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trophy Club, ~29% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trophy Club compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trophy Club leans more Republican than 50 of 78 neighbors.
Trophy Club runs about 18 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Trophy Club leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trophy Club, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Trophy Club votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 70%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Trophy Club are family households, above 97% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Trophy Club, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Trophy Club looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Trophy Club is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Trophy Club own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Trophy Club have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Westlake, TX R+43
- Roanoke, TX R+27
- Southlake, TX R+29
- Northlake, TX R+27
- Double Oak, TX R+38
- Bartonville, TX R+46
- Flower Mound, TX R+16
- Keller, TX R+20
- Grapevine, TX R+12
- Corral City, TX R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Valley Stream, NY D+38
- Lincolnwood, IL D+5
- Loomis, CA R+24
- Tarrytown, NY D+38
- White City, OR R+23
- Rifle, CO R+29
- Ripley, TN R+11
- Fleetwood, PA R+29
- Grand Terrace, CA R+5
- Mission Hills, CA D+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.