Fredericksburg is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Fredericksburg typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fredericksburg, ~6% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fredericksburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fredericksburg leans more Republican than 85 of 95 neighbors.
Fredericksburg runs about 62 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fredericksburg. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+82) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+66), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Fredericksburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fredericksburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Fredericksburg hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Ohio average of 23%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 90% of households in Fredericksburg are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fredericksburg, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Fredericksburg looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fredericksburg is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 12 points below the Ohio average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Fredericksburg report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Fredericksburg sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fryburg, OH R+80
- McCance, OH R+67
- Mount Hope, OH R+75
- Apple Creek, OH R+65
- Guerne, OH R+59
- East Union, OH R+64
- Benton, OH R+75
- Moreland, OH R+64
- Holmesville, OH R+75
- Mount Eaton, OH R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Webster, FL R+50
- Pelican Rapids, MN R+22
- Science Hill, KY R+65
- Lincolnton, GA R+33
- Grafton, WV R+51
- Weaver, AL R+54
- Huntsville, AR R+59
- Westover, MD R+4
- Montrose, MN R+39
- Mickleton, NJ R+16
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.