Guerne is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Guerne typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guerne, ~12% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guerne compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guerne leans more Republican than 49 of 101 neighbors.
Guerne runs about 48 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Guerne leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guerne, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Guerne, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Ohio average of 23%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Guerne, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Guerne looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Guerne is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Guerne rent, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Union, OH R+64
- Apple Creek, OH R+65
- McCance, OH R+67
- Honeytown, OH R+54
- Moreland, OH R+64
- Fredericksburg, OH R+73
- Westwood, OH R+42
- Riceland, OH R+59
- Kidron, OH R+63
- Wooster, OH R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Hillsdale, NY D+37
- Bluffton, GA D+8
- Board Camp, AR R+64
- Thorpe, IA R+47
- East Branch, NY R+39
- Red Hill, GA R+69
- Center Valley, WI R+45
- Ellston, IA R+53
- Cuba, KS R+67
- Westover Hills, VA R+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.