Fredericktown is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Fredericktown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fredericktown, ~14% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fredericktown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fredericktown leans more Republican than 46 of 76 neighbors.
Fredericktown runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Fredericktown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fredericktown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Fredericktown are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Fredericktown, KY does.
Why turnout in Fredericktown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fredericktown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Fredericktown own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Fredericktown have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Croakes, KY R+59
- Valley Hill, KY R+55
- Botland, KY R+54
- Cisselville, KY R+56
- St. Catharine, KY R+53
- Nerinx, KY R+64
- Springfield, KY R+52
- Maud, KY R+54
- Loretto, KY R+62
- Holy Cross, KY R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pineridge, CA R+44
- Pittsburg, IA R+55
- Fernville, VT R+7
- Tram, KY R+65
- Clockville, NY R+30
- Whiteson, OR R+32
- Blair, SC D+34
- Townley, IN R+57
- Ossawinamakee Beach, MI R+28
- Oplin, TX R+76
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.