Gates Mills is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Gates Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gates Mills, ~46% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gates Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gates Mills sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 75 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 39 leaning the other way.
Gates Mills runs about 14 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Gates Mills sits closer to the political middle.
Why Gates Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gates Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gates Mills votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Gates Mills runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Gates Mills, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gates Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gates Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 81%, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Gates Mills own their home, compared to around 81% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Gates Mills have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mayfield, OH Even
- Mayfield Heights, OH D+21
- Highland Heights, OH Even
- Hunting Valley, OH D+3
- Chesterland, OH R+24
- Lyndhurst, OH D+35
- Pepper Pike, OH D+30
- Willoughby Hills, OH D+14
- Richmond Heights, OH D+64
- Kirtland, OH R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Coosada, AL R+18
- Hemby Bridge, NC R+18
- Box Elder, MT D+61
- Laurium, MI R+5
- Barksdale Afb, LA R+5
- Eagle Springs, NC R+29
- Etna Green, IN R+65
- Hubbard, TX R+53
- Hamlin, TX R+61
- Wyoming, DE D+7
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.