Geneseo leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Geneseo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Geneseo, ~36% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Geneseo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Geneseo leans more Republican than 15 of 72 neighbors.
Geneseo runs about 31 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Geneseo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Geneseo. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Geneseo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Geneseo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Geneseo votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, above 82% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Geneseo runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Geneseo, IL does.
Why turnout in Geneseo looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Geneseo is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Joslin, IL R+27
- Osborn, IL R+24
- Green River, IL R+28
- Atkinson, IL R+34
- Osco, IL R+44
- Cleveland, IL R+27
- Colona, IL R+23
- Spring Hill, IL R+41
- Hillsdale, IL R+31
- Green Rock, IL R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sneads Ferry, NC R+44
- Collegedale, TN R+28
- Valencia, PA R+28
- Tell City, IN R+32
- Cadiz, KY R+55
- Middleton, MA R+4
- Trinidad, CO R+4
- Elburn, IL R+14
- Arizona City, AZ R+20
- Raymond, NH R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.