Arizona City leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Arizona City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arizona City, ~28% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arizona City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arizona City leans more Republican than 9 of 17 neighbors.
Arizona City runs about 14 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arizona City. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Arizona City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arizona City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arizona City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 78%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Arizona City sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Arizona City, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Arizona City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arizona City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Toltec, AZ R+4
- Eloy, AZ D+3
- Chuichu, AZ D+35
- Eleven Mile Corner, AZ R+49
- Casa Grande, AZ R+14
- Friendly Corners, AZ R+43
- La Palma, AZ R+46
- Picacho, AZ R+46
- Randolph, AZ R+48
- Coolidge, AZ R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Trinidad, CO R+4
- Middleton, MA R+4
- Collegedale, TN R+28
- Tell City, IN R+32
- Sneads Ferry, NC R+44
- Geneseo, IL R+20
- Valencia, PA R+28
- Cadiz, KY R+55
- Oak Brook, IL Even
- Greenwell Springs, LA R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.