Gin City leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Gin City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gin City, ~11% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gin City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gin City leans more Republican than 12 of 51 neighbors.
Gin City runs about 10 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gin City. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Gin City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gin City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Gin City live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Gin City sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 94% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Gin City are family households, above 82% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Gin City, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gin City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gin City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Gin City report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 58% of adults in Gin City have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bradley, AR R+43
- Kizer, AR R+47
- Canale, AR R+42
- Canfield, AR R+50
- Ferguson Crossroads, AR R+79
- Fort Lynn, AR R+73
- State Line, AR R+60
- Bolinger, LA R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greenville, NJ R+39
- Hazelhurst, IL R+46
- Prattville, TX R+79
- Grayford, IN R+67
- Hayton, WI R+51
- Herndon, IA R+43
- Glen Lyn, VA R+67
- Slade, KY R+65
- Herring, WV R+60
- Frisco, IL R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.