Girdletree leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Girdletree typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Girdletree, ~29% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Girdletree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Girdletree leans more Republican than 42 of 69 neighbors.
Girdletree runs about 61 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Girdletree is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Girdletree leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Girdletree, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Girdletree live in densely developed areas, about 39 points below the Maryland average of 43%. Girdletree runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Girdletree, MD sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Girdletree looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Girdletree is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scarboro, MD R+2
- Stockton, MD R+31
- Goodwill, MD R+35
- Whiteburg, MD Even
- Snow Hill, MD Even
- Greenbackville, VA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aberdeen Gardens, WA R+35
- Little Switzerland, NC R+59
- Woodbury, MI R+42
- Mount Salem, KY R+69
- Schofield, MO R+71
- Randall, IA R+40
- New Liberty, IA R+44
- Daggett, CA R+34
- Nicolville, MN R+26
- Hamilton, WA R+33
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.