Golden Valley County is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Golden Valley County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Golden Valley County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Golden Valley County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Golden Valley County is the most Republican-leaning.
Golden Valley County runs about 50 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Golden Valley County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Golden Valley County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Golden Valley County sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 90% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 8 points above the Montana average of 83%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Golden Valley County, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Golden Valley County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 81% of households in Golden Valley County own their home, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Musselshell County, MT R+64
- Wheatland County, MT R+66
- Yellowstone County, MT R+25
- Stillwater County, MT R+57
- Sweet Grass County, MT R+54
- Fergus County, MT R+50
- Petroleum County, MT R+69
- Carbon County, MT R+38
- Judith Basin County, MT R+62
- Meagher County, MT R+58
Counties with Similar Populations
- Roberts County, TX R+90
- Bristol Bay Borough, AK Even
- Hayes County, NE R+87
- Clark County, ID R+65
- Hinsdale County, CO R+6
- Mineral County, CO R+5
- Wheeler County, NE R+72
- Keya Paha County, NE R+82
- Treasure County, MT R+66
- Terrell County, TX R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.