Wheatland County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Wheatland County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wheatland County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wheatland County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Wheatland County leans more Republican than 4 of 5 neighbors.
Wheatland County runs about 46 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Wheatland County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wheatland County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Wheatland County live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Wheatland County, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Wheatland County looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 94% of adults in Wheatland County have completed high school, above 84% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Golden Valley County, MT R+69
- Sweet Grass County, MT R+54
- Judith Basin County, MT R+62
- Fergus County, MT R+50
- Meagher County, MT R+58
- Stillwater County, MT R+57
- Musselshell County, MT R+64
- Park County, MT R+14
- Yellowstone County, MT R+25
- Gallatin County, MT D+6
Counties with Similar Populations
- Haines Borough, AK R+17
- Stanton County, KS R+48
- Keweenaw County, MI Even
- Judith Basin County, MT R+62
- Faulk County, SD R+66
- Wrangell City and Borough, AK R+8
- Jeff Davis County, TX R+51
- Gilliam County, OR R+48
- Clark County, KS R+73
- Wichita County, KS R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.