Gonzales, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Gonzales

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Gonzales leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in Gonzales typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gonzales, ~27% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Gonzales compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Gonzales leans more Democratic than 13 of 26 neighbors.

Politically, Gonzales sits close to the rest of California.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gonzales. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+2), a spread of about 23 points.

Why Gonzales leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gonzales, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 78% of residents in Gonzales live in densely developed areas, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Gonzales have never been married, above 94% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Gonzales, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Gonzales looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gonzales is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 16 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in Gonzales rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Gonzales report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.