Goshen is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 86% of adults in Goshen typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goshen, ~41% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goshen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Goshen leans more Republican than 50 of 84 neighbors.
Goshen runs about 37 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Goshen is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goshen. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Goshen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goshen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Goshen votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Goshen runs about 37 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Goshen, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Goshen looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Goshen is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Goshen own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fernville, VT R+7
- Brandon, VT R+19
- Leicester, VT R+10
- Robinson, VT D+17
- Salisbury, VT R+3
- Pittsford, VT R+11
- Sudbury, VT R+20
- Chittenden, VT R+7
- West Salisbury, VT R+2
- Whiting, VT D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Datil, NM R+43
- Reedville, TX R+9
- Oletha, TX R+78
- Grahn, KY R+62
- Hilltop, WV R+38
- Emerson, NY R+39
- Hendrix, OK R+70
- Howardsville, VA R+17
- Echo, WA R+50
- Cornettsville, KY R+72
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.