Gray is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Gray typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gray, ~15% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gray compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gray leans more Republican than 75 of 80 neighbors.
Gray runs about 64 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Gray is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gray. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Gray leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gray, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Gray, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the New York average of 34%. Gray runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Gray, NY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Gray looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Gray own their home, about 18 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cold Brook, NY R+39
- Norway, NY R+53
- Ohio, NY R+40
- Newport, NY R+48
- Morehouseville, NY R+42
- Poland, NY R+38
- Grant, NY R+24
- Middleville, NY R+49
- North Gage, NY R+41
- Hinckley, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Meekers Grove, WI R+39
- Oakridge, MN R+36
- Andover, SD R+42
- Midkiff, WV R+69
- San Buenaventura, CA D+16
- Telegraph, TX R+75
- Gravel Hill, AR R+68
- North Newcastle, ME R+8
- Kilmanagh, MI R+53
- Prosper, MI R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.