Green Springs leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Green Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Green Springs, ~23% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Green Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Green Springs leans more Republican than 50 of 79 neighbors.
Green Springs runs about 40 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Green Springs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Green Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Green Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Green Springs votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Green Springs runs about 40 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Green Springs, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Green Springs looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Green Springs own their home, about 19 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Melton, VA R+34
- Blue Ridge Shores, VA R+35
- Waldrop, VA R+30
- Gordonsville, VA R+24
- Madison Run, VA R+21
- Ellisville, VA R+33
- Louisa, VA R+26
- Zion Crossroads, VA Even
- Lindsay, VA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Horton, IA R+45
- Moorland, MI R+41
- Big Creek, KY R+81
- San Ygnacio, TX R+8
- Reddington, IN R+60
- Estral Beach, MI R+43
- Dannebrog, NE R+64
- Elm Grove, NC R+60
- Howel, KY R+63
- Nerinx, KY R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.