Madison Run leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Madison Run typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Madison Run, ~21% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Madison Run compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Madison Run leans more Republican than 19 of 84 neighbors.
Madison Run runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Madison Run is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Madison Run leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Madison Run, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Madison Run votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Madison Run runs about 27 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Madison Run, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Madison Run looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Madison Run rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Madison Run have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Madison Run sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Melton, VA R+34
- Orange, VA R+30
- Green Springs, VA R+34
- Montford, VA R+21
- Gordonsville, VA R+24
- Lahore, VA R+47
- Montpelier Station, VA R+23
- Blue Ridge Shores, VA R+35
- Waldrop, VA R+30
- Woodberry Forest, VA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, IL R+58
- Wilbur Springs, CA R+13
- Sanco, TX R+77
- Galla Rock, AR R+60
- Gheen, MN R+25
- Marron, PA R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.