Blue Ridge Shores leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Blue Ridge Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Ridge Shores, ~26% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blue Ridge Shores compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blue Ridge Shores leans more Republican than 57 of 82 neighbors.
Blue Ridge Shores runs about 40 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Blue Ridge Shores is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Blue Ridge Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blue Ridge Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blue Ridge Shores votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Blue Ridge Shores runs about 40 points more Republican.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Blue Ridge Shores, VA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Blue Ridge Shores looks the way it does
Turnout in Blue Ridge Shores sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellisville, VA R+33
- Green Springs, VA R+34
- Melton, VA R+34
- Louisa, VA R+26
- Madison Run, VA R+21
- Thornhill, VA R+46
- Waldrop, VA R+30
- Gordonsville, VA R+24
- Wares Crossroads, VA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hoberg, MO R+70
- Bellflower, MO R+67
- South Byron, WI R+48
- Quinwood, WV R+67
- Fowlers Crossroads, AL R+85
- Greens Corners, VT R+32
- Monroe, ME R+17
- St. David, IL R+38
- Frenchtown, PA R+54
- Lakeside, MI D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.