Melton leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Melton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Melton, ~23% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Melton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Melton leans more Republican than 52 of 82 neighbors.
Melton runs about 40 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Melton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Melton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Melton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Melton votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Melton runs about 40 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Melton, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Melton looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Melton own their home, about 19 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green Springs, VA R+34
- Gordonsville, VA R+24
- Madison Run, VA R+21
- Waldrop, VA R+30
- Blue Ridge Shores, VA R+35
- Lindsay, VA Even
- Orange, VA R+30
- Montpelier Station, VA R+23
- Ellisville, VA R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monroe, PA R+56
- Dryburg, MI R+38
- Lowell, WI R+45
- Mystic, GA R+47
- Fox Bluff, TN R+65
- Soleo, AL D+10
- Green Hill, TN R+39
- Green Garden, MI R+3
- Mine Run, VA R+39
- Eglon, WV R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.