Greenville is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Greenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenville, ~18% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greenville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Greenville leans more Republican than 64 of 77 neighbors.
Greenville runs about 62 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Greenville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Greenville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Greenville votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Greenville runs about 62 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Greenville drive to work alone, above 88% of cities. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Greenville fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Greenville, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Greenville looks the way it does
Turnout in Greenville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wilda, VA R+53
- Steeles Tavern, VA R+58
- Raphine, VA R+48
- Middlebrook, VA R+52
- White Hill, VA R+41
- Montebello, VA R+37
- Stuarts Draft, VA R+46
- Rivermont, VA R+56
- Summerdean, VA R+51
- Jolivue, VA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pineville, MO R+68
- Marshfield Hills, MA D+7
- Ogden, IA R+38
- Deerwood, MN R+27
- Pine Beach, NJ R+22
- Henry, IL R+31
- Lakefield, MN R+44
- Silver Creek, MS D+8
- Fall River, WI R+22
- Nineveh, IN R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.