Steeles Tavern is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Steeles Tavern typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Steeles Tavern, ~16% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Steeles Tavern compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Steeles Tavern leans more Republican than 67 of 77 neighbors.
Steeles Tavern runs about 64 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Steeles Tavern is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Steeles Tavern leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Steeles Tavern, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Steeles Tavern votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Steeles Tavern runs about 64 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Steeles Tavern fits that profile on both counts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Steeles Tavern, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Steeles Tavern looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Steeles Tavern own their home, about 24 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Raphine, VA R+48
- Greenville, VA R+56
- Middlebrook, VA R+52
- McKinley, VA R+54
- Wilda, VA R+53
- Brownsburg, VA R+47
- Fairfield, VA R+37
- Summerdean, VA R+51
- Montebello, VA R+37
- Vesuvius, VA R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whichard, NC R+18
- La Grange, WI R+28
- Scotts Crossroad, VA R+24
- Wheelock, VT R+23
- Rhems, SC R+10
- Ripley, IL R+54
- Chenoa, KY R+80
- Olsburg, KS R+54
- Vaughnsville, OH R+71
- Kingston, IN R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.