Pine Beach leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Pine Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Beach, ~31% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Beach leans more Republican than 43 of 98 neighbors.
Pine Beach runs about 28 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Pine Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Pine Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pine Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 89%, well above the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Pine Beach are family households, above 87% of cities. Pine Beach runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pine Beach, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pine Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pine Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Pine Beach have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Island Heights, NJ R+20
- Beachwood, NJ R+33
- Ocean Gate, NJ R+27
- Bayville, NJ R+38
- South Toms River, NJ R+3
- Toms River, NJ R+28
- Holiday City South, NJ R+11
- Seaside Park, NJ R+29
- Seaside Heights, NJ R+8
- Lanoka Harbor, NJ R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Deerwood, MN R+27
- Henry, IL R+31
- Marshfield Hills, MA D+7
- Ogden, IA R+38
- Greenville, VA R+56
- Pineville, MO R+68
- Fall River, WI R+22
- Silver Creek, MS D+8
- Lakefield, MN R+44
- Nineveh, IN R+51
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.