Grove City is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Grove City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grove City, ~15% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grove City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grove City leans more Republican than 58 of 67 neighbors.
Grove City runs about 70 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Grove City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Grove City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grove City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Grove City, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Illinois average of 27%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Grove City sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 79% of cities). Grove City runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Grove City, IL does.
Why turnout in Grove City looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Grove City have completed high school, about 6 points above the Illinois average of 92%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sharpsburg, IL R+53
- Mount Auburn, IL R+56
- Edinburg, IL R+53
- Stonington, IL R+49
- Roby, IL R+44
- Osbernville, IL R+57
- Willeys, IL R+60
- Mechanicsburg, IL R+49
- Blue Mound, IL R+57
- Bulpitt, IL R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alfred, ND R+60
- Seneca Rocks, WV R+72
- Fieldton, TX R+66
- Pinecreek, MN R+58
- School Creek, NE R+63
- Mineral Hill, NM D+31
- Raven Branch, TN R+70
- Jolietville, IN R+48
- Shady Brook, KS R+63
- Coolidge, KS R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.