Guide Rock is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Guide Rock typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guide Rock, ~9% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guide Rock compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guide Rock leans more Republican than 14 of 28 neighbors.
Guide Rock runs about 51 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Why Guide Rock leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guide Rock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Guide Rock live in densely developed areas, about 13 points below the Nebraska average of 17%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Guide Rock sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Guide Rock, NE sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Guide Rock looks the way it does
Turnout in Guide Rock sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cowles, NE R+71
- Northbranch, KS R+75
- Mount Clare, NE R+68
- Red Cloud, NE R+67
- St. Stephens, NE R+69
- Burr Oak, KS R+75
- Rosemont, NE R+73
- Superior, NE R+56
- Lawrence, NE R+68
- Cadams, NE R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glen Robbins, OH R+56
- New Harmony, OH R+58
- Millard, WI R+37
- Milford, CA R+45
- Round Prairie, TX R+39
- Rawson, NY R+51
- Timberlinks, TN R+41
- Claiborne, OH R+58
- Huntsville, WA R+53
- Eagle Grove, GA R+50
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.