Gulfport leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Gulfport typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gulfport, ~39% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gulfport compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gulfport leans more Democratic than 54 of 58 neighbors.
Gulfport runs about 20 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Gulfport is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gulfport. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Gulfport leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gulfport, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 85% of residents in Gulfport live in densely developed areas, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Gulfport sits in the top quarter (about 40%, above 87% of cities). Gulfport runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Gulfport, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Gulfport looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gulfport is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Pasadena, FL R+6
- St. Pete Beach, FL R+14
- St. Petersburg, FL D+18
- Treasure Island, FL R+19
- Kenneth City, FL R+16
- West Lealman, FL R+9
- Lealman, FL R+4
- Madeira Beach, FL R+20
- Bay Pines, FL R+14
- Pinellas Park, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Garden City, GA D+31
- Monticello, AR R+21
- Fallston, MD R+26
- Lanett, AL D+3
- Pearl River, LA R+52
- Chelsea, MI D+17
- Farmingdale, NY R+15
- Saltillo, MS R+59
- Highlands, TX R+31
- Orono, ME D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.