Lealman is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Lealman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lealman, ~26% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lealman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lealman leans more Republican than 13 of 65 neighbors.
Lealman runs about 9 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lealman. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lealman leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lealman. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lealman, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lealman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lealman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Lealman rent, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Lealman have completed high school, below 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kenneth City, FL R+16
- St. Petersburg, FL D+18
- Pinellas Park, FL R+12
- West Lealman, FL R+9
- Bardmoor, FL R+20
- Gulfport, FL D+7
- South Pasadena, FL R+6
- Bay Pines, FL R+14
- Treasure Island, FL R+19
- South Highpoint, FL D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
- East Liverpool, OH R+40
- Camden, SC R+18
- Arcata, CA D+52
- Cleveland, GA R+59
- Floral Park, NY R+8
- Sylacauga, AL R+36
- Mount Vernon, IL R+30
- West Richland, WA R+30
- Merrimack, NH D+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.