Gum Tree leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Gum Tree typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gum Tree, ~38% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gum Tree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gum Tree leans more Republican than 48 of 93 neighbors.
Gum Tree runs about 28 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Gum Tree is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Gum Tree leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gum Tree, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gum Tree votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Gum Tree runs about 28 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Gum Tree are family households, above 85% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Gum Tree, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Gum Tree looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Gum Tree is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Gum Tree own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Doswell, VA R+19
- Verdon, VA R+23
- Ashland, VA R+5
- North Anna, VA R+14
- Studley, VA R+29
- Taylorsville, VA R+7
- Blantons, VA R+3
- Lorne, VA R+8
- Hewlett, VA R+30
- Montpelier, VA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shelly, MN R+42
- Drifting, PA R+60
- Temple, IN R+50
- Telbasta, NE R+55
- New Era, IA R+27
- Sunny Side, TX R+14
- Belknap, IL R+62
- Mauzy, IN R+65
- Guilford Center, NY R+45
- West Tuckerton, NJ R+40
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.