Sunfish Lake leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Sunfish Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sunfish Lake, ~41% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sunfish Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sunfish Lake leans more Democratic than 52 of 110 neighbors.
Sunfish Lake runs about 8 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Sunfish Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sunfish Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 71% of residents in Sunfish Lake live in densely developed areas, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Sunfish Lake sits in the top quarter (about 67%, above 98% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in Sunfish Lake have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Sunfish Lake, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Sunfish Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Sunfish Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Sunfish Lake have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mendota Heights, MN D+22
- West St. Paul, MN D+27
- South St. Paul, MN D+18
- Inver Grove Heights, MN D+10
- Lilydale, MN D+27
- Mendota, MN D+30
- Newport, MN D+12
- Eagan, MN D+23
- St. Paul Park, MN D+3
- St. Paul, MN D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Farson, WY R+73
- Bloomington, KS R+58
- Blue Hill, TN R+70
- Le Raysville, PA R+61
- San Leanna, TX D+40
- Juliustown, NJ R+21
- Duffau, TX R+76
- Cold Spring, TN R+73
- Shiloh, VA R+37
- Graphite, NC R+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.