Wallops Island leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Wallops Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wallops Island, ~31% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wallops Island compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wallops Island leans more Republican than 22 of 64 neighbors.
Wallops Island runs about 21 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Wallops Island is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wallops Island. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Wallops Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wallops Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Wallops Island hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Wallops Island runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Wallops Island, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Wallops Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Wallops Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Atlantic, VA R+22
- Wattsville, VA R+13
- New Church, VA Even
- Oak Hall, VA R+11
- Horntown, VA R+28
- Temperanceville, VA R+26
- Hallwood, VA R+10
- Mappsville, VA D+14
- Withams, VA R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blue Hill, TN R+70
- Le Raysville, PA R+61
- Shiloh, VA R+37
- Juliustown, NJ R+21
- Sunfish Lake, MN D+12
- Cold Spring, TN R+73
- Graphite, NC R+10
- Bronson, KS R+64
- Hanley, IA R+44
- San Leanna, TX D+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.