Hampden leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Hampden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hampden, ~40% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hampden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hampden leans more Republican than 41 of 63 neighbors.
Hampden runs about 37 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while Hampden is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hampden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hampden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hampden votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, well below the Massachusetts average of 50%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Hampden are family households, above 76% of cities. Hampden runs against the grain of Massachusetts, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hampden, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hampden looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hampden is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Hampden own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Hampden have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Longmeadow, MA Even
- Wilbraham, MA Even
- South Monson, MA R+16
- Monson, MA R+16
- Indian Orchard, MA D+25
- Springfield, MA D+14
- Tennyville, MA R+16
- Longmeadow, MA D+23
- Ludlow, MA R+10
- Palmer Town, MA R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bakersville, NC R+59
- Reedsport, OR R+24
- Ellerslie, GA R+47
- Hartford, AL R+73
- Wake Village, TX R+22
- Reed City, MI R+39
- Lewisburg, WV R+23
- Pine Island, MN R+28
- Piketon, OH R+60
- Morrison, TN R+68
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.