Harleton is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Harleton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harleton, ~10% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harleton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harleton leans more Republican than 42 of 46 neighbors.
Harleton runs about 60 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Harleton. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Harleton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harleton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Harleton hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Harleton, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Harleton looks the way it does
Turnout in Harleton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Walkers Mill, TX R+81
- Nesbitt, TX R+61
- Kellyville, TX R+48
- Orrs, TX R+61
- Diana, TX R+74
- Jefferson, TX R+43
- Lassater, TX R+63
- Warlock, TX R+61
- Hallsville, TX R+68
- Woodlawn, TX R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caneyville, KY R+68
- Tunnelton, WV R+65
- Windsor, SC R+58
- Princeville, IL R+43
- Kenilworth, IL D+30
- Inkom, ID R+50
- Cottonwood, AL R+72
- Penndel, PA D+9
- East Pittsburgh, PA D+53
- Antrim, NH R+9
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.