Hathaway Mead leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Hathaway Mead typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hathaway Mead, ~30% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hathaway Mead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hathaway Mead leans more Republican than 16 of 21 neighbors.
Hathaway Mead runs about 37 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Hathaway Mead is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hathaway Mead. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Hathaway Mead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hathaway Mead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Hathaway Mead live in densely developed areas, about 26 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Hathaway Mead runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Hathaway Mead, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hathaway Mead looks the way it does
Turnout in Hathaway Mead sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tillamook, OR R+18
- Bay City, OR R+9
- Netarts, OR D+5
- Oceanside, OR D+16
- Garibaldi, OR Even
- Sandlake, OR R+24
- Rockaway Beach, OR R+4
- Woods, OR R+26
- Oretown, OR R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bruce, SD R+52
- Hansonville, VA R+70
- Greendale, MO D+78
- Sheldahl, IA R+28
- Bedford Park, IL R+10
- Georgetown, ID R+74
- Leighton, IA R+50
- Nibbyville, IN R+54
- Alexander, ND R+82
- Mount Etna, PA R+62
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.