Garibaldi is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Garibaldi typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garibaldi, ~40% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garibaldi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garibaldi sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 9 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 11 leaning the other way.
Garibaldi runs about 15 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Garibaldi sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garibaldi. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Garibaldi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garibaldi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Garibaldi votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Garibaldi runs about 15 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Garibaldi, OR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Garibaldi looks the way it does
Turnout in Garibaldi sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rockaway Beach, OR R+4
- Bay City, OR R+9
- Wheeler, OR D+23
- Hathaway Mead, OR R+23
- Oceanside, OR D+16
- Manzanita, OR D+26
- Nehalem, OR D+14
- Tillamook, OR R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Teec Nos Pos, AZ D+54
- Kennard, NE R+48
- Spurlington, KY R+67
- Freedom, ME R+19
- Collierville, CA R+42
- Orin, WA R+51
- Faucett, MO R+54
- Chevy Chase View, MD D+54
- Keeling, VA R+51
- Ralston, WY R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.