Hawley leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Hawley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hawley leans more Republican than 17 of 31 neighbors.
Hawley runs about 35 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Hawley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hawley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hawley votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Hawley runs about 35 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Hawley are family households, above 82% of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Hawley, MN does.
Why turnout in Hawley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hawley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hitterdal, MN R+35
- Sioux Valley, MN R+41
- Rollag, MN R+27
- Lake Park, MN R+35
- Downer, MN R+27
- Glyndon, MN R+34
- Baker, MN R+28
- Ulen, MN R+34
- Audubon, MN R+40
- Felton, MN R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Millinocket, ME R+14
- Fountain, FL R+74
- St. Paul, MO R+32
- Banner Elk, NC R+27
- O'Neill, NE R+66
- New London, OH R+51
- Pendergrass, GA R+57
- Coatesville, IN R+55
- Philpot, KY R+55
- Kitty Hawk, NC R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.