Hawleys leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Hawleys typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawleys, ~19% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawleys compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hawleys leans more Republican than 64 of 95 neighbors.
Hawleys runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hawleys is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hawleys leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawleys, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hawleys, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the New York average of 34%. Hawleys runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hawleys, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hawleys looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Hawleys report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Walton, NY R+24
- Pinesville, NY R+17
- Trout Creek, NY R+42
- Colchester, NY R+19
- Sidney Center, NY R+37
- Franklin Depot, NY R+29
- Ivanhoe, NY R+46
- Hamden, NY R+19
- Harvard, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hamlin, PA R+57
- Hernshaw, WV R+59
- Grants Lick, KY R+55
- Boys Ranch, TX R+83
- Plum Tree, VA R+37
- Dwight, KS R+60
- West Finley, PA R+59
- Bruin, PA R+62
- Eden Mills, VT R+29
- Calcasieu, LA R+84
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.