Haydenville leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Haydenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Haydenville, ~24% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Haydenville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Haydenville leans more Republican than 12 of 102 neighbors.
Haydenville runs about 46 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Haydenville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Haydenville. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Haydenville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Haydenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Haydenville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Haydenville runs about 46 points more Republican.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Haydenville, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Haydenville looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in Haydenville have completed high school, about 8 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Westons Mills, NY R+35
- Haskell Flats, NY R+42
- Portville, NY R+37
- Olean, NY R+9
- West Clarksville, NY R+47
- Ceres, NY R+51
- Maplehurst, NY R+43
- Hinsdale, NY R+44
- Homer Hill, NY R+37
- Little Genesee, NY R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Guion, IN R+65
- Roth, VA R+67
- Georgetown, NC D+9
- Cold Springs, MO R+56
- New Raymer, CO R+74
- Steffenville, MO R+74
- Hambletville, NY R+35
- North Easton, NY R+16
- Monse, WA R+25
- Gaylord, KS R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.