Hereford is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Hereford typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hereford, ~13% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hereford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hereford leans more Republican than 6 of 8 neighbors.
Hereford runs about 76 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Hereford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hereford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hereford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hereford, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 10% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points below the Oregon average of 29%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hereford sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 93% of cities). Hereford runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Hereford, OR does.
Why turnout in Hereford looks the way it does
Turnout in Hereford sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bridgeport, OR R+60
- Unity, OR R+61
- Sumpter, OR R+61
- Baker City, OR R+36
- Wingville, OR R+46
- Rock Creek, OR R+51
- Haines, OR R+51
- Durkee, OR R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chrystal, PA R+63
- Fargo, TX R+71
- Fairmount Springs, PA R+54
- Folletts, IA R+40
- Slana, AK R+27
- Muddy, IL R+56
- Smoky Junction, TN R+75
- Smyrna, IN R+50
- Sikesville, AL R+80
- Slater, WY R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.