Smoky Junction is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Smoky Junction typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smoky Junction, ~6% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smoky Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smoky Junction leans more Republican than 64 of 70 neighbors.
Smoky Junction runs about 45 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Smoky Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smoky Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Smoky Junction, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 3% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Smoky Junction sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 93% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Smoky Junction, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Smoky Junction looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Smoky Junction is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 59% of adults in Smoky Junction have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Huntsville, TN R+68
- Norma, TN R+74
- Charleys Branch, TN R+71
- Winona, TN R+64
- Mill Creek, TN R+72
- Brewstertown, TN R+70
- Pioneer, TN R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Matlock, KY R+51
- Sharps, VA R+23
- Slater, WY R+75
- Grand Ronde Agency, OR R+26
- Greenville, OR R+35
- Harper Tavern, PA R+55
- Slana, AK R+27
- Glendon, NC R+57
- Richmond, AL Even
- Hereford, OR R+61
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.