Hermon leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Hermon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hermon, ~22% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hermon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hermon leans more Republican than 26 of 68 neighbors.
Hermon runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hermon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hermon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Hermon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hermon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hermon votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hermon runs about 41 points more Republican.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Hermon, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hermon looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in Hermon have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pyrites, NY R+2
- Marshville, NY R+43
- North Russell, NY R+40
- DeKalb Junction, NY R+40
- Kents Corners, NY R+41
- Eddy, NY R+21
- South Russell, NY R+43
- Russell, NY R+43
- Crary Mills, NY D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wade, OH R+61
- Matville, OH R+46
- Valier, MT R+50
- Liberty, PA R+65
- College Hill, KY R+57
- Otto, AR R+67
- Kingston, VA R+50
- Pilot Grove, MO R+61
- Rushville, NE R+63
- Newman Grove, NE R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.