Valier is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Valier typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valier, ~12% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valier compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valier leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Valier runs about 30 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valier. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+58), a spread of about 68 points.
Why Valier leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valier, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Valier live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Valier, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Valier looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valier is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 13 points below the Montana average of 62%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in Valier report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Valier have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dupuyer, MT R+33
- Pendroy, MT R+60
- Conrad, MT R+49
- Bynum, MT R+59
- Little Browning, MT D+71
- Dunkirk, MT R+63
- Ethridge, MT R+60
- Cut Bank, MT R+24
- Shelby, MT R+33
- Heart Butte, MT D+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- College Hill, KY R+57
- Otto, AR R+67
- Rushville, NE R+63
- Wade, OH R+61
- Kingston, VA R+50
- Hermon, NY R+28
- Matville, OH R+46
- Newman Grove, NE R+73
- Liberty, PA R+65
- Pilot Grove, MO R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.