Hickory Flat is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Hickory Flat typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Flat, ~8% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Flat leans more Republican than 33 of 47 neighbors.
Hickory Flat runs about 54 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hickory Flat. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+86) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+72), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Hickory Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Hickory Flat drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hickory Flat sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 91% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hickory Flat, MS sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Hickory Flat looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Hickory Flat sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winborn, MS R+76
- Cornersville, MS R+74
- Pumpkin Center, MS R+63
- Potts Camp, MS R+53
- Myrtle, MS R+79
- Cotton Plant, MS R+45
- Blue Mountain, MS R+46
- Gravestown, MS R+70
- Lake Center, MS R+31
- Poolville, MS R+86
Cities with Similar Populations
- Afton, NY R+36
- Rockholds, KY R+77
- Cold Springs, NV R+37
- Mount Perry, OH R+60
- Wildwood, GA R+68
- Driscoll, TX R+20
- Fowler, OH R+47
- Parchment, MI D+17
- Sandy Lake, PA R+51
- Lone Pine, CA R+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.