Hickory Valley, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hickory Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hickory Valley leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in Hickory Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Valley, ~28% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hickory Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Valley leans more Republican than 12 of 46 neighbors.

Hickory Valley runs about 22 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hickory Valley. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 76 points.

Why Hickory Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Hickory Valley live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Tennessee average of 21%.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hickory Valley, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Hickory Valley looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hickory Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.